Casualty Actuarial Society

2014 Centennial Celebration and Annual Meeting

Reserving for the Next 100 Years - Thinking outside the Triangle

Tuesday, November 11, 2014: 8:00 a.m.
East Ballroom Suite (New York Hilton Midtown)
What would the actuarial profession do if we had never estimated reserves before, and faced a blank sheet of paper today? The panelists will share some ideas from areas such finance and social sciences. They will introduce you to Thomas Bayes, and how his theorem can be applied to our problem. They will look at the social sciences, and draw conclusions about latent variables that are not directly observable, which may help us incorporate market cycles.
Moderator: Jessica Leong, Execution Lead, Zurich Insurance North America


Presentation 1
David Clark, Senior Actuary, Munich Re America, Inc
Presentation 2
James Guszcza, US Chief Data Scientist, Deloitte
Presentation 3
Jessica Leong, Execution Lead, Zurich Insurance North America
Presentation 4
Donald Mango, Vice Chairman, Enterprise Analytics, Guy Carpenter & Co., LLC
See more of: Conference Program