2014 Centennial Celebration and Annual Meeting
Reserving for the Next 100 Years - Thinking outside the Triangle
Tuesday, November 11, 2014: 8:00 a.m.
East Ballroom Suite (New York Hilton Midtown)
What would the actuarial profession do if we had never estimated reserves before, and faced a blank sheet of paper today? The panelists will share some ideas from areas such finance and social sciences. They will introduce you to Thomas Bayes, and how his theorem can be applied to our problem. They will look at the social sciences, and draw conclusions about latent variables that are not directly observable, which may help us incorporate market cycles.
Jessica Leong, Execution Lead, Zurich Insurance North America